Heading into Q2 earnings, analysts had estimated just 2.8% YoY earnings growth.

With 90% of S&P 500 companies having reported, blended earnings growth (actuals + estimates) are now tracking +10.5% (7.7% above the preseason estimate).

That is the largest positive surprise in all of the data I have back to 2013 (excluding the warped COVID-19 period).

Never underestimate corporate America.

In my last post, Are S&P 500 Companies Really Doing More with Less? I dug into revenue per employee metrics for S&P 500 sectors over the past 35 years.

I asked readers “Do you see S&P 500 revenue per employee increasing or decreasing over the next decade?”

The results are below:

Today, I’d like you to look ahead to Q3 earnings season. Analysts currently expect +6.58% YoY growth in Q3. Do you see S&P 500 companies beating or missing this benchmark?

POLL: Will the S&P 500 Beat or Miss its Q3 2025 +6.58% YoY Earnings Growth Estimate?

Login or Subscribe to participate

I’ll turn the results into a chart for my next post. Stay tuned!

Live Tour: Exhibit A

Financial Advisors: Michael Batnick and I will be joining Taylor Schulte to talk all things Exhibit A this Tuesday (8/12) at 12 PM EST.

Here’s the agenda:

  • The origin story: How Exhibit A grew from idea to advisor essential

  • Live demo of the platform

  • How Taylor is leveraging Exhibit A in his practice

  • Live Q&A

If you’d like to see the platform in action and hear how other advisors are leveraging our custom-branded (daily updating) charts in client/prospect communication, we’d love for you to join us on the call!

That’s all for today. If you enjoyed this post, please consider sharing it with a friend. As always, thank you for reading!

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